Subjects decision theory

Expected Utility 0D6Cca

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Question: User: top-center: table with columns $s_1$ and $s_2$; row A has 10 under $s_1$ and 0 under $s_2$; row B has 9 under $s_1$ and 4 under $s_2$. For what probability $P(s_1)$ are the acts equally preferred under expected utility? 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.8 None of the above.consider the displayed decision matrix
1. **State the problem:** We have two acts, A and B, with utilities given for two states $s_1$ and $s_2$. The utilities are: - Act A: $u(A,s_1) = 10$, $u(A,s_2) = 0$ - Act B: $u(B,s_1) = 9$, $u(B,s_2) = 4$ We want to find the probability $P(s_1)$ such that the expected utilities of acts A and B are equal. 2. **Formula for expected utility:** $$EU(\text{act}) = P(s_1) \times u(\text{act}, s_1) + (1 - P(s_1)) \times u(\text{act}, s_2)$$ 3. **Set expected utilities equal:** $$P(s_1) \times 10 + (1 - P(s_1)) \times 0 = P(s_1) \times 9 + (1 - P(s_1)) \times 4$$ 4. **Simplify the equation:** $$10P(s_1) = 9P(s_1) + 4 - 4P(s_1)$$ $$10P(s_1) = 9P(s_1) + 4 - 4P(s_1)$$ $$10P(s_1) = (9P(s_1) - 4P(s_1)) + 4$$ $$10P(s_1) = 5P(s_1) + 4$$ 5. **Isolate $P(s_1)$:** $$10P(s_1) - 5P(s_1) = 4$$ $$\cancel{10}P(s_1) - \cancel{5}P(s_1) = 4$$ $$5P(s_1) = 4$$ $$P(s_1) = \frac{4}{5} = 0.8$$ 6. **Interpretation:** The acts are equally preferred when the probability of state $s_1$ is $0.8$. **Final answer:** $P(s_1) = 0.8$