Subjects probability

Blue Counter Probability 4Ff5Ab

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Question: A bag has 13 counters in, 8 are blue and the rest are red. A counter is removed, not replaced and another chosen. Find the probability that a blue counter is not chosen.
1. **State the problem:** We have a bag with 13 counters: 8 blue and 5 red (since 13 - 8 = 5). 2. **What is asked?** Find the probability that a blue counter is not chosen in two draws without replacement. 3. **Key idea:** "Blue counter is not chosen" means both counters drawn are red. 4. **Calculate the probability:** - Total counters initially: 13 - Red counters initially: 5 5. **Probability first counter is red:** $$P(\text{red}_1) = \frac{5}{13}$$ 6. **After removing one red counter, counters left:** - Total counters left: 12 - Red counters left: 4 7. **Probability second counter is red given first was red:** $$P(\text{red}_2 | \text{red}_1) = \frac{4}{12} = \frac{1}{3}$$ 8. **Probability both counters are red:** $$P(\text{red}_1 \cap \text{red}_2) = P(\text{red}_1) \times P(\text{red}_2 | \text{red}_1) = \frac{5}{13} \times \frac{1}{3} = \frac{5}{39}$$ 9. **Therefore, the probability that a blue counter is not chosen is:** $$\boxed{\frac{5}{39}}$$