Subjects statistics

Conditional Probability E0Fb77

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Question: The two-way table below gives the thousands of commuters in Massachusetts in 2015 by transportation method and one-way length of commute. Less than 15 minutes 15-29 minutes 30-44 minutes 45-59 minutes 60 or more minutes Total Private vehicle 636 908 590 257 256 2647 Public Transportation 9 54 96 62 108 329 Other 115 70 23 7 7 222 Total 760 1032 709 326 371 3198 Given that the commuter used public transportation, find the probability that the commuter had a commute of 60 or more minutes. P (60+ minutes | public transportation) =
1. **State the problem:** We want to find the conditional probability that a commuter had a commute of 60 or more minutes given that they used public transportation. 2. **Recall the formula for conditional probability:** $$P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}$$ where $A$ is the event "commute of 60 or more minutes" and $B$ is the event "used public transportation". 3. **Identify values from the table:** - Number of commuters who used public transportation and had a commute of 60 or more minutes: $108$ (thousands) - Total number of commuters who used public transportation: $329$ (thousands) 4. **Calculate the conditional probability:** $$P(60+ \text{ minutes} | \text{public transportation}) = \frac{108}{329}$$ 5. **Simplify the fraction if possible:** Since $108$ and $329$ have no common factors other than 1, the fraction is already in simplest form. 6. **Convert to decimal (optional):** $$\frac{108}{329} \approx 0.3283$$ 7. **Interpretation:** Given that a commuter used public transportation, there is approximately a $32.83\%$ chance that their commute was 60 or more minutes. **Final answer:** $$P(60+ \text{ minutes} | \text{public transportation}) = \frac{108}{329} \approx 0.3283$$